There is generally not a dominant weather feature that is steering the storm, so model forecasts can vary widely between each other and from run to run.
Hurricane Jose is continuing to weaken as it takes a clockwise loop in the Atlantic Ocean.
"By days 4 and 5, Jose should track toward the west-northwest with a bit faster forward motion as the aforementioned mid-level high strengthens to the northeast of Jose". It is forecast to weaken to Category 1 strength in a few days, with winds between 75 and 90 miles per hour.
However, most computer models indicate Jose will stay out to sea and complete a tight enough loop to avoid moving onshore. It was one of four hurricanes to hit the Sunshine State that year.
Anything beyond those five days is nothing more than an educated guess, as a lot can happen in between now and then.
"The three-day cone still has it to the east of us moving parallel".
Caicos before Irma
Jose's wind forecast, updated today by the National Hurricane Center, show tropical-storm level winds reaching near Florida and the coastal Carolinas by Friday. But forecasters warn that long-term forecasts are often off by hundreds of miles.
"Within the next 72 hours we would get a better picture of Jose in terms of posing any immediate threat to the country at this time".
It was a category 1 hurricane.
Tropical storm-force winds from Jose spread over the islands on Saturday.
Meanwhile, remnants of the destructive Hurricane Irma will likely be seen on the east coast as well.
In May, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said that unseasonably warm ocean temperatures and a no-show from El Niño would contribute to a potentially "extremely active" hurricane season. The upside is hurricane season slows down from here until the end of November, so everyone along the coasts should be able to breathe easy again in a few short months.